2016

Oh yeah, that's right. It's never too early.

Okay, maybe it's too early. Still, this seems as good a time as any to start speculating about the 2016 Presidential election. The main thing to say is just that, as of right now, you'd kind of have to say that Andrew Cuomo is the distinct front-runner for the Democratic nomination. I still think it's Hillary's if she wants it, but also that she won't want it. Cuomo was probably already the front-runner, being the popular governor of a very large, very big-deal state, having a big-ticket name, etc., but I think the gay marriage thing (which he seems to deserve a whole hell of a lot of credit for) strengthens his position even more. By 2016 I think being on the proper side of the gay marriage issue will be an asset nationally.

Anyway, that's my first thought. I'm going to spend a bit of time in the near future gaming out what the political landscape might look like as we approach 2015 or so, and what the nomination contests might shape up like. More detailed speculation coming later.