World Series Win Probability Added Leaderboards, Day 3 (for real!)

This is a little mini-update, since the last update only included one of the two games played on the relevant date. In a few more minute there will be another, bigger update, featuring all four of the games from yesterday (a.k.a. Friday), but I just wanted to make sure there was a post featuring precisely all of the games through October 2nd.



Top 10 players by WSWPA:

Eric Hosmer, Kansas City Royals, +6.70%
Brandon Moss, Oakland Athletics, +4.29%
Brandon Finnegan, Kansas City Royals, +3.28%
Mike Moustakas, Kansas City Royals, +3.22%
Christian Colon, Kansas City Royals, +3.18%
Josh Reddick, Oakland Athletics, +2.81%
Madison Bumgarner, San Francisco Giants, +2.50%
Greg Holland, Kansas City Royals, +2.16%
Billy Butler, Kansas City Royals, +2.14%
Alberto Callaspo, Oakland Athletics, +2.10%


Moustakas and Holland move into the top-10, with the former hitting a game-winning homer in extras and the latter nailing down the save shortly thereafter. Two of the three Giants on the list get bumped out. Finnegan, continuing to have an awesome October, moves up a few spots, and Billy Butler moves down. I can't imagine that Callaspo's name will stick around for very much longer.

Bottom 10 players by WSWPA:

Jason Hammel, Oakland Athletics, -5.46%
Yordano Ventura, Kansas City Royals, -4.26%
Dan Otero, Oakland Athletics, -3.78%
Edinson Volquez, Pittsburgh Pirates, -3.11%
Fernando Salas, Los Angeles Angels, -2.99%
Omar Infante, Kansas City Royals, -2.45%
Torii Hunter, Detroit Tigers, -2.40%
Howie Kendrick, Los Angeles Angels, -2.28%
Josh Hamilton, Los Angeles Angels, -2.12%
Sean Doolittle, Oakland Athletics, -2.11%

Jayson Nix and Jon Lester move off by attrition. Jason Frasor and Alex Gordon, however, move off because they had good games Thursday night. Replacing them are three Angels, two of whom were a combined 0-10 with 4 strikeouts (of which, amazingly, only one was Hamilton's) and the other of whom gave up the go-ahead home run in the 11th. Kendrick twice got out with two on and two out; Hamilton twice got out with a runner at second and one out, only once even advancing the runner. Kendrick then also ended an inning that had only a runner at second, and then Hamilton made the last out of the game. Woof.

Top 5 plays by WSWPA:

AL WC Game, bottom of the 12th, 2 outs, runner on 2nd, OAK 8, KCR 8: Salvador Perez singles to left field off of Jason Hammel, Christian Colon scores. +4.975% WSWPA for Kansas City.
AL WC Game, top of the 6th, 0 outs, runners on 1st and 2nd, KCR 3, OAK 2: Brandon Moss homers to center field off of Yordano Ventura, Sam Fuld scores, Josh Donaldson scores. +3.975% WSWPA for Oakland.
AL WC Game, bottom of the 12th, 1 out, bases empty, OAK 8, KCR 7: Eric Hosmer triples to left field off of Dan Otero. +3.738% WSWPA for Kansas City.
AL WC Game, bottom of the 12th, 1 out, runner on 3rd, OAK 8, KCR 7: Christian Colon singles to third base off of Dan Otero, Eric Hosmer scores. +3.463% WSWPA for Kansas City.
ALDS Game 1, top of the 11th, 0 outs, bases empty, KCR 2, LAA 2: Mike Moustakas homers to right field off of Fernando Salas. +3.178% WSWPA for Kansas City.

This was already current through both games, so no changes, obviously.