Tuesday, April 12, 2011

Jose Reyes, MVP

Ten games into the season, and guess who's leading the major leagues in triples? Okay, that one's too easy. How about leading the majors in at-bats, and the National League in plate appearances? Well, he's a leadoff hitter; that happens almost automatically if he's playing every day. But guess what? It's the same guy who's leading all of baseball in hits, with sixteen in ten games. That's a pace for 256 in 160 games, for what it's worth, as well as a .340 batting average. Meanwhile Jose is on pace to score about 110 runs if he plays 160 games. There's a couple of things he isn't doing yet (home runs, steals, walks), but those will come around if he keeps playing this way. Let me tell you this: if Jose Reyes keeps on hitting at .340, which I think he is eminently capable of doing, he'll be the Most Valuable Player in the National League. No doubt about it. And, what do you know, Fangraphs says he's been worth 0.5 wins above replacement through the first ten games of the season. Multiply that out to 160 games, and you've got an 8-win season. That's the statutory definition of MVP-level. Go Jose!

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